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Title : EFFECTS OF CALENDAR VARIATIONS ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF POTENTIAL STOCKS
Author :

PUTRIAJI HENDIKAWATI (1) Prof. Drs. Subanar, Ph.D. (2) Dr. Abdurakhman (3) Tarno (4)

Date : 1 2022
Keyword : calendar variations,ARIMAX,stock returns calendar variations,ARIMAX,stock returns
Abstract : This study examines the effect of calendar variations on potential stocks on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Calendar variations are observed in telecommunications, retail, food and cigarettes sub-sectors. The observed calendar variations are divided into two: the holiday effect, namely the effect of the month of Ramadan, the effect of the Eid al-Fitr holiday, and the effect of changes in the month of the Eid holidays; and the trading day effect, namely the effect of the day of the week and month of the year effects. ARIMA and ARIMAX model is used to see the effect of previous return data and the calendar variations on predicting stock returns. Descriptively, there is the effect of calendar variations due to Ramadan and Eid holidays and the influence of Monday and January effect. The existence of calendar variations does not apply equally to all types of stocks and to all observation time periods. The calendar variation tends to vary, does not form a clear pattern, does not consistently affect stock returns on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is not statistically significant. Based on the analysis, it was found that the Monday effect and January effect are the most common phenomena in the Indonesian stock exchange.
Group of Knowledge : Statistik
Original Language : Bahasa Indonesia
Level : Nasional
Status :
Published
Document
No Title Document Type Action
1 14921-48183-1-PB.pdf
Document Type : [PAK] Full Dokumen
[PAK] Full Dokumen View