ACADSTAFF UGM
| Title | : | PERAMALAN BEBAN LISTRIK DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA DENGAN METODE SINGULAR SPECTRUM ANALYSIS (SSA) |
| Author | : |
Dr. Herni Utami, S.Si., M.Si. (1) Yunita Wulan Sari, S.Si., M.Sc. (2) Prof. Drs. Subanar, Ph.D. (3) Dr. Abdurakhman (4) Dr. Drs. Gunardi, M.Si. (5) |
| Date | : | 30 2019 |
| Keyword | : | Forecasting model, Singular Spectral Analysis, Linear Recurrent Formula, Electricity demand Forecasting model, Singular Spectral Analysis, Linear Recurrent Formula, Electricity demand |
| Abstract | : | This paper will study forecasting model for electricity demand in Yogyakarta and forecast it for 2019 until 2024. Usually, electricity demand data contain seasonal. We propose Singular Spectral Analysis-Linear Recurrent Formula (SSA-LRF) method. The SSA process consists of decomposing a time series for signal extraction and then reconstructing a less noisy series which is used for forecasting. The SSA-LRF method will be used to forecast h-step ahead. In this study, we use monthly electricity demand in Yogyakarta for 11 year (2008 to 2018). The forecasting results indicates that the forecast using window length of L=26 have good performance with MAPE of 1.9%. |
| Group of Knowledge | : | Statistik |
| Original Language | : | Bahasa Indonesia |
| Level | : | Nasional |
| Status | : |
Published
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Cover.pdf
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| 2 |
Editor.pdf
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| 3 |
daftar isi.pdf
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Korespondensi.pdf
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Similaritas.pdf
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paper.pdf
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korespondensi.pdf
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